Monday, July 23, 2007

India calling

If America makes it too difficult for immigrants to start their companies in the US, these entrepreneurs will be welcomed in India

The United States Congress recently considered reforms to the US immigration policy. While no reforms were enacted, the debate in Congress — and across America — revealed that many Americans still think of immigration as an issue about low-skilled people, mostly from Latin America, who drive down wages for native-born Americans. Very little attention was paid to the high-skilled, highly educated immigrants from countries such as India, China, the United Kingdom and Russia who seek to enter America legally but are often dissuaded by the lengthy wait required to receive a small number of green cards.

The US ignores the needs of these immigrants at its own peril. A recent study completed at the Pratt School of Engineering at Duke University showed that these entrepreneurial immigrants are using their skills, as well as the opportunities for business development present in the United States, to boost economic output and create more jobs for American workers. The effect of Indian entrepreneurs on US economic growth is particularly noteworthy.

The study, of engineering and technology companies created between 1995 and 2005, found that in 25% of these companies either the chief executive or lead technologist was foreign born. In 2005, these immigrant-founded companies alone produced $52 billion in sales and employed 450,000 workers — enough jobs to hire all the skilled engineers the US has admitted over the last decade, and then some.

The study also found that most immigrant entrepreneurs in America did not enter the country with the intention of starting a new business. In fact, less than 2% did. The vast majority came to pursue work or educational opportunities. On average, immigrant founders launched their firms 13 years after they arrived in the US.

This makes sense. Immigrants may not be fully aware of the opportunities for business development in the United States. Furthermore, coming from countries that have less developed and often more bureaucratic economies, they may not realise how relatively easy it is to start a business in America. The US economic environment is one that's supportive of entrepreneurship — reasonable taxes and regulation, enforceable contracts, and a highly motivated, well-educated workforce.
Most of the companies started with the help of immigrants are small and growing technology and science firms. But some have already reached global prominence. Yahoo's Jerry Yang is originally from Taiwan, Google's Sergey Brin is from Russia, and Vinod Khosla, a founder of Sun Microsystems, hails from India.

The study also found that in science and technology fields, innovative entrepreneurship is correlated with high levels of education. We infer that people with advanced degrees possess the qualifications, and the confidence, to bring novel and useful contributions to the market. Among the immigrant founders surveyed, 96% held advanced degrees, mostly from US institutions. Most of these advanced degrees were in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics.

Indian immigrants, in particular, tend to be better educated than both native US citizens and other immigrant groups. While less than a quarter of US citizens hold a bachelor's degree, more than two-thirds of Indian immigrants have a college education. And nearly 40% of Indian immigrants in the US hold a graduate or professional degree — the highest rate of any immigrant group studied.

While one might have expected that most Indian entrepreneurs in America were trained at the elite Indian Institutes of Technology (which graduated Vinod Khosla), the reality is that just 15% of Indian entrepreneurs in America earned degrees from an IIT. We were surprised that Delhi University graduated as many such entrepreneurs as did IIT-Bombay, and Madras University graduated more than IIT-Madras. Indian entrepreneurs we surveyed attended more than 40 different universities in India before arriving in the US.

India's education system appears to offer a growing range of opportunities for students to pursue the kind of science and technical education they once could only find at elite schools or abroad. Perhaps because of the advanced educational achievements of Indian immigrants, they alone have generated a substantial portion of the jobs and economic output created by foreign-born entrepreneurs in the US. In fact, Indians founded more engineering and technology companies in the US in the decade leading up to 2005 than the next four immigrant groups combined — those from the UK, China, Taiwan, and Japan. Indian entrepreneurs accounted for 26% of all immigrant-founded start-ups, about 117,000 jobs, and $14 billion in revenue in 2005. In a very real sense, Indian immigrants have helped drive US high-tech leadership.

But the US faces a problem. While Indians who emigrated to America for education and work traditionally remained in the country in great numbers, more and more are now returning home, choosing to put their skills to use in India's growing domestic tech sector rather than waiting up to ten years for a green card in the US. According to NASSCOM, some 20,000 Indians living in the United States have moved back to India in just the last two years. We believe there are over 100,000 more who may be forced to leave because of visa processing delays.

Until now, the United States has been seen as the premier centre of both education and job opportunities in innovation industries. But with globalisation and communications technology driving the growth of high-tech centres outside the United States, today's scientists and engineers have many more options for launching a successful career.

Given the growing prominence of India's high-tech sector, the United States could also face a situation in which Indian students who once would have gone to study in America — and then stayed to help launch new, job-creating ventures — decide instead to remain at home. Sure, this would make some immigration-sceptical Americans happy, but it would do no favours for those who want to keep the US at the top of the global high-tech industry.

America's loss could be India's gain. While once the Indian government lobbied US lawmakers to provide more green cards for Indians seeking training and education in America, we expect it will not do so in the future. In building its own high-tech industry, India has used the United States as a training ground for its own scientists and engineers. And while Indian emigrants remained in America, the Indian government benefited from revenues they sent home.

But now India is booming — clearly one of the world's most promising emerging economies. It wants its own citizens to come home, or to stay home. It needs all the skilled workers it can get in order to continue the progress already made in attracting world-class talent and businesses to its shores. Indians who have the skills, the connections, and the business savvy to launch entrepreneurial ventures will be encouraged to do so at home. The message is clear: if the United States makes it too difficult for immigrants to start their companies in Silicon Valley, New York, or Boston, these entrepreneurs will be welcomed in Hyderabad, Bangalore, and Delhi.

(Co-authored by Robert Litan, Vice President for research and policy at the Kauffman Foundation. Wadhwa is executive in residence at the Pratt School of Engineering at Duke University and a founder of two software companies.)
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Thursday, June 28, 2007

TCS and Ferrari - A strange combination or is it?

At 2 pm on race day when rubber hits the road and the world's eyes are on the race track – TCS is ready to deliver certainty with speed for Ferrari- even at 350 km per hour

Cutting-edge solutions delivered with speed and precision and the constant search for excellence and innovation had led to a partnership between the makers of one of the world's fastest and most famous red car and Asia's largest software company.

TATA Consultancy Services and Scuderia Ferrari have crossed yet another milestone on their journey, completing three years of a successful relationship. In 2004, in a unique initiative both the companies had come together where teams of engineers and specialists from TCS provided IT and engineering services and assist in the development of the Formula 1 racing car and the Ferrari sports car.

The F1 car is the most complex and advanced car platform in the market, packing research in aero dynamics, engine technology, brakes, tyres and modelling to name just a few. An F1 car is a feat of engineering in many domains. It has more in common with a jet fighter than it does with a normal car.

Experts compare it to a moving solutions platform that tests not only the stamina of the drivers but also mechanical and electronic systems that have to perform under levels of extreme stress. Goalposts shift dramatically every moment and pressure to deliver is a constant. From car electronics to safety, aerodynamics to trouble-shooting, TCS works with the F1 team to provide IT-based solutions before, during and between races.

A Formula 1 entry, as part of Ferrari's technology team is a feather in the cap for TCS, showing that the Indian industry leader is now part of an elite group that is driving the future of technology worldwide. Collection and processing of millions of data elements with speed and accuracy is daily business at Scuderia Ferrari, the Maranello, Italy-based home of the car manufacturers.

While glamour and speed is what attracts millions of viewers to the races, a lesser-known fact is that increasingly, TCS has also delivered cutting edge engineering solutions to several customers in Europe in the automotive, aerospace, heavy engineering and automation domain.

TCS remains the first and only Indian company to enter the F1 stadium alongside the most famous occupant of this global arena.

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Sunday, June 24, 2007

The Indian growth story is widely inclusive

The leftist critics are right when they say India's record GDP grow-th is bypassing rural millions. This tragedy arises from massive government failure to provide decent education and infrastructure to every village despite 60 years of gargantuan but wasteful spending. India's cities have been connected to the global economy and have taken off. The villages have not.

But does this justify criticism that 9% GDP growth benefits only a thin upper crust of the population? Not at all.

No economy can grow at 9% unless a wide swathe of people simultaneously increase their productivity and output. Caveat: in small economies, a single mineral deposit can raise GDP without widespread citizen involvement. These exceptions apart, 9% growth is rare across the world precisely because it is so difficult to rapidly improve the productivity of most of the population.

The plain fact is that 9% growth cannot be non-inclusive. It can be achieved only by aggregating the efforts of hundreds of millions. Now, widespread inclusion is not the same thing as complete inclusion. Significant sections are excluded in India, especially in badly-governed states. Still, 9% growth is widely inclusive, and could never have been achieved by a thin upper crust.

Mobile phone connections in India are growing at the rate of six million per month, or 72 million per year. With telecom towers coming up in rural areas, the number of mobile connections is expected to soon hit 500 million. Clearly, this represents wide inclusion, not a thin upper crust.

The number of households with TV sets was just one million in 1980, mostly black and white TVs. Today, 120 million households have TV sets, mostly colour TV. When close to two-thirds of all households have what was an elite privilege in the heyday of socialism, let us celebrate this as a success of inclusion.

Forbes magazine's list of dollar billionaires has two new Indian entrants, K P Singh of DLF and Ramesh Chandra of Unitech. Critics find it awful that Singh and Chandra have so much wealth when others have so little. But Singh and Chandra used to be non-entities, and have become billionaires only because the price of the few thousand acres they own has skyrocketed. The same price rise has benefited every home and farm owner. Urban land in Delhi goes for Rs 2 lakh/square yard, and rural land in Haryana sells for up to a crore per acre. So, rising real estate prices are actually very inclusive. They benefit all from the jhuggi owner to the small farmer. Even those recorded as landless in rural India have homesteads. A small minority with no house or land at all have missed the bonanza. But the vast majority of Indians have gained.

India's 9% growth is not, as some people think, due largely to the information technology (IT) exports. Indeed, India's National Accounts do not even list IT services as a separate category. These services are lumped into the category 'real estate, ownership of dwellings, business and legal services'. The real impact of IT is grossly underestimated by official data, since GDP is based on a historical composition of the economy, where IT had a tiny role. If you exclude IT altogether from GDP, the growth of the rest of the economy will probably be 9%.

Services account for most of the economy. The largest services sector is 'trade hotels and restaurants', which has been growing at 8-10% for many years. This is not run by the Ambanis or software giants.

Millions of urban and rural folk are employed in trade. Hotels and restaurants mean, overwhelmingly, dhabas, pavement vendors in cities and tea-shop owners in villages. Our formal statistics have no good way of measuring this unorganised sector, and so unfortunately miss large parts of it.

Activist Madhu Kishwar estimated some time ago that almost half the households in Delhi were engaged in street hawking and cycle rickshaws. Both these activities are largely illegal, and hence, poorly captured properly by official data.

The fastest-growing sector is communications (23.9% in 2005-06). The telecom revolution benefits a wide swathe of people, not an upper crust. Transport, another fast-growing sector, also benefits a wide swathe. Finance and insurance are booming. Millions of the uninsured now have cover. Consumer credit has spread the benefits of credit to millions of buyers of TV, white goods, vehicles and homes. Micro-credit has reached over 10 million poor women.

Official data show that almost 60% of Indians are engaged in agriculture. This is misleading. Agriculture is a seasonal occupation. Most rural workers do multiple casual jobs. A rural worker who spends 51% of his time in agriculture is classified as agricultural, even though 49% of his work may be in services, construction and rural processing. One study estimated that 70% of new rural jobs for women were in construction (which is growing by 14%, and employs millions).

If all Indians participated in today's boom, i imagine GDP growth would be 15%. Clearly, we need more inclusion of those left out today. But equally we must scotch the notion that only a thin upper crust of Indians is benefiting. India's growth is widely, though not fully, inclusive.
Source: TOI
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Friday, June 22, 2007

It’s not size, but quality & price that matter!!

At a time when the economy is growing, it's not surprising that corporate India's need for capital to finance expansion and acquisitions too has increased manifold. Consider this: In CY 2007 till date, the total amount of capital raised from the primary market has reached a whopping Rs 12, 041.68 crore. But June 2007 will be remembered for witnessing India Inc's largest fund-raising exercise ever. Of the total Rs 12,041.68 crore raised till June 20, nearly Rs 10,000 crore has been raised in June alone.
A couple of issues are lined up to hit the street, where more than Rs 13,000 crore will be mobilised from the primary market in June alone. This will take the total resource mobilisation in June 2007 to more than Rs 25,000 crore. Also, nearly 17 issues which has got approval from the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) will shortly hit the market whose total fund-raising plans are around Rs 7,400 crore.

Says Girish Nadkarni, COO-Institutional Banking & Institutional Equity, IL&FS Investmart: "The Indian IPO market has become really strong with variety of companies from different sectors approaching the primary market for raising capital. There is a huge potential in the Indian IPO market and the total capital raising activities in 2007 will surpass all previous figures. Liquidity in the Indian market has never been a major issue as most of the money has been coming from institutions." In CY07, it is not the number of issues that mattered the most, but the sheer size of each issue, which grabbed the headlines. Market players expressed a lot of concern about these mega issues, which could potentially suck out the available liquidity in the market. But to everybody's surprise, these mega issues did not have any negative consequences on other activities of the capital market.

Shrugging off liquidity concerns, mega issues of DLF Ltd and ICICI Bank's follow-on public offer (FPO), which is currently on, received good response from various categories of investors.

The Indian market has proved it several times that those issues, which are well priced, were able to successfully sail through, receiving good response from all categories of investors compared to those issues, which were overpriced. Market experts say size doesn't matter but the quality of the company and pricing decide the success of any IPO.

According to Arun Kejriwal, director, KRIS Capital: "The expectation of investors on post listing is a key factor for the success of any IPO. If the issue is well priced and investors think that they can make money post listing, those issues have received good response from investors."

Citing the example of ICICI Bank, Kejriwal says, "The ICICI Bank FPO is the single largest issue by any company in India. Still, it received good response from investors on the first day of subscription. But at the same time if we take the example of Cairn India, it got poor response from investors, which was considered overpriced."

Most of the issues in CY07 generated more response from the qualified institutional buyers (QIB) category, which one could easily argue is because 50% of the total issue size is reserved for them. But if we carefully see the figures, with special focus to oversubscription in this category in each IPO, one fact which is proved beyond doubt is the confidence reposed by foreign investors on the long-term India growth story. But on the other side it also reveals the stark reality of the hegemony enjoyed by these institutional fund houses over the Indian market.
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